Costco Stock Price Prediction: 2025, 2026, 2030

Analysts are saying that Costco could hit $2,196 by 2030. Bullish on COST? Invest in Costco on SoFi with no commissions. If it’s your first time signing up for SoFi,you’ll receive up to $1,000 in stock when you first fund your account.Plus, get a 1% bonus if you transfer your investments and keep them there until December 31, 2025. Costco Wholesale Corp. (NASDAQ: COST) has been one of Wall Street’s consistently popular retail stocks since the beginning of the pandemic when shares really started taking off. Families, retailers, and businesses continue to rely on the wholesale club’s wide array of offerings, even as the threat of tariffs creates concern for consumers. This article outlines Costco’s current financial standing, as well as potential price target estimates for 2025, 2026, and 200, created using a structured forecasting methodology. It will cover analyst sentiment, algorithmic projections, and valuation data to frame Costco’s possible short- and long-term paths. Despite a rocky year for retailers, due in large part to tariff worries, Costco shares are up nearly 8% year to date and 15% over the last year, as of August 2025. The company also increased its quarterly dividend to $1.31 from $1.16 last May. These are just a few of the reasons that analysts give COST a consensus rating of Buy, with a high price target of $1,225 and a low of $890. Although Costco’s trailing twelve month P/E ratio of 56.07 as of August 2025 seems on the high side, especially when compared to 43.16 for Sam’s Club operator Walmart (NYSE: WMT) and 24.05 for BJ’s Wholesale’s (NYSE: BJ), analysts believe there’s more room for this stock to grow. Costco is one of the most popular warehouse club chains in the United States, offering its members significant discounts on everything from bulk grocery buys and clothing to appliances and garden sheds. That membership is key, with approximately 80 million households globally paying at least $65 per year to shop in the store. Those members are loyal. Costco reported in its most recent quarterly results that its renewal rates were close to 93%. Overall membership also increased by 7% year over year. Tariffs have the potential to have a big impact on the entire retail segment. Shoppers started making large household purchases and loading up on non-perishable products ahead of tariff announcements, which should increase Costco’s short-term revenue. However, if tariffs inevitably cause prices to increase, it will hurt sales across the retail sector. How it will affect Costco is less certain, since customers could turn to the discounter to save more money. The forecast range in this table is based on algorithmic projections provided by CoinCodex. These models use historical price trends, volatility patterns, and moving averages to estimate future stock prices over multiple time horizons. Costco is still a highly regarded stock, with 22 out of 38 analysts rating it a Buy or Strong Buy. Its debt burden dropping by 17% and TTM dividend growth of 12% are great reasons to hold on to shares, even if their three-year total return of 79% begins to decline somewhat. The company’s long track record of continued membership growth also bodes well for the long run. Costco is starting to enter a phase of less rapid profit growth with an EPS forecast of 9.42% growth versus a three-year average of 12.02%. Free cash flow is slowing, but the company is also investing in more warehouse stores, technology, and logistics, which can be risky bets for a company that has expanded so rapidly. Its PEG ratio is also up to 5.77 from 4.32, which could indicate that the stock is increasingly overvalued. Costco’s 2025 outlook is strong. The stock’s average price target for the remainder of the year is $ 1,061.47, a nearly 13% increase from a year ago. Shares are still trading at a premium, with a considerable P/E compared to peers and an unknown amount of risk from upcoming tariffs. Despite increased memberships, Costco is facing a lot of uncertainty, which is why it’s good that it’s shedding debt. Even so, investors aren’t so certain and have let the stock slip about 4% in the first half of the year. The 14-day RSI for Costco is coming in at just over 45, indicating that it’s neither overbought or oversold, and sentiment seems to be neutral at the moment. If the matter of tariffs can be settled for good, it’s very likely that Costco will continue its upward climb. Analysts are viewing Costco’s 2026 with more hesitation, given how much uncertainty is plaguing retail overall. Tariff concerns weigh heavily, but Costco is powering through and adding another 10 warehouses in its upcoming Q4, according to its most recent earnings call, which will undoubtedly play into 2026 numbers. A new partnership with Affirm, a buy now, pay later company, is also expected to encourage members to buy more big ticket items. Although CoinCodex predicts strong valuation early in 2026, with Costco hitting its maximum price for the year in April, mid-year targets range from $1,034.30 to $1,126.93 in June and July. A lot of unknowns remain for the future of retail until tariffs are settled, but Costco seems to be building itself up for resiliency regardless of conditions. If tariffs are then lower than expected, or don’t end up manifesting at all, it may surprise everyone with a much more significant price gain. On the other hand, if tariffs make supply chains more difficult to navigate, it could cause knock-on effects in valuation. Costco’s future largely hinges on what happens with global tariffs and their impact. Major supply-chain disruptions could slow growth. Although the company demonstrated creativity and resilience to supply-chain disruptions during the COVID-19 pandemic by chartering private container ships that brought its own goods into the U.S. from Asian markets, five years of new global tariffs may have unpredictable effects. Because the risk environment is hugely unknown at this time, 2030 stock predictions are based on a wide CAGR range of 7% to 12%. Starting from today’s price of around $940, shares prices may be as high as $1,655.97 or as low as $1,317.89 by 2030, but as long as Costco stays in the game, growth is the likely outcome due to the company’s long-term vision and continual culture of creative problem solving. Costco has been a resilient stock through difficult times over the last five years, and there’s nothing to indicate that the company won’t continue to adapt and overcome when problems come along that derail other retailers. A history of loyalty from members who are willing to pay to shop there also helps its long-term forecast. However, investors should be thinking about the risks due to global tariffs. It’s a huge well of uncertainty that no one can see the bottom of just yet, but if Costco sees its way through it, the stock becomes a great buying opportunity today, and the risk will become a reward. Costco is a stalwart presence in the retail sector, only made stronger by a loyal member base and a continual dedication to solving operational problems in unusual ways. However, the effect of global tariffs on the company remains to be seen on shares. Models predict values between $1,317.89 and $1,655.97, if all things continue as they are today. Yes, the company recently increased its quarterly dividend to $1.31 per share, but with a very small yield of about 0.5%, it’s not a strong reason to invest. * Plus500 is a Benzinga Partner and the promotion of this offer was sponsored by the Partner. This does not impact the content at all. Kristi Waterworth is a journalist with over 30 years of experience, including more than 10 years writing about real estate, investing, and cryptocurrency. You can find her work in publications like The Motley Fool and US News and World Report. A newsletter built for market enthusiasts by market enthusiasts. Top stories, top movers, and trade ideas delivered to your inbox every weekday before and after the market closes.